Break-Even After Discount
Offer 10% off? Here's how many more sales you actually need.
The Break-Even Trap: Why 10% Off Costs More Than You Think
Most business owners dramatically underestimate how many extra sales a discount requires. A 10% discount does NOT require 10% more sales — the actual number depends on your profit margin.
If your margin is 30% and you offer 10% off, you need 50% more sales to break even — not 10%, not even 30%.
The Discount–Volume Matrix
| Margin | 5% off | 10% off | 15% off | 20% off |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | +33% | +100% | +300% | ∞ |
| 30% | +20% | +50% | +100% | +200% |
| 40% | +14% | +33% | +60% | +100% |
| 50% | +11% | +25% | +43% | +67% |
| 60% | +9% | +20% | +33% | +50% |
Notice the 20% margin row: a 20% discount makes break-even mathematically impossible — you'd be selling at cost. Any discount above your margin guarantees a loss, no matter how much volume you push.
When Discounting Makes Sense
High margin, elastic demand: If your margin is 60%+ and a 10% discount genuinely drives 25%+ more volume, it's profitable.
Customer acquisition: If the discounted sale leads to full-price repeat purchases, the break-even math shifts in your favor over the customer lifetime.
Inventory clearance: Unsold inventory has carrying costs. A discount that moves product before it becomes obsolete can be the right call even at lower margins.
Frequently Asked Questions
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